Monday, November 20, 2006

Highlights, Not Essays

AFTER MORE THAN a week away from a computer, there is much catching up to do. However, I'll spare the long comments about mid-terms in favor of some short highlights.

  • Dems gain control of House (no surprise), also get Senate (mild surprise).
  • I would trade Jim Web or Claire McCaskill for Harold Ford, Jr., but that's just me.
  • I hope Heath Shuler does better in Washington this time around.
  • Who would have thought the GOP would go 0-for-3 in the contested races in Indiana?
  • I'd sure like to be in Joe Lieberman's position right now.
  • Larry Sabato wins the prognosticator award (off by 1 vote in House, nailed the Senate!).
  • There were 15 open House seats held by GOP members. Dems won 12.
  • The thought of Nancy Pelosi as Speaker scares me.
  • Exhibit A in the 'Pelosi as Speaker Scares Me' case: her decision to back Murtha.
  • Hooray for Steny Hoyer (a good Marylander, by the way)
  • I'm I the only one who thought the MSNBC coverage of the elections was great?
  • I'm glad Cynthia McKinney (D-GA) and Katherine Harris (R-FL) lost big time.
  • How did George Allen go from Presidential hopeful to unemployed in 8 weeks? Surely there are reasons beyond 'mecaca'.
  • What are we to make of the Religious Right now?
  • I can think of about 30 GOP candidates who are pretty pissed that GW didn't fire Rumsfeld a few weeks earlier.
  • It was fun to listen to Rush Limbaugh and Sean Hannity on Nov. 8.
  • That's the only time it's fun.
  • Did you see the meeting between Pelosi and Bush a couple days after the election? They looked like two junior high students on a first date. Awkward.
  • Wow, Santorum sure took a beating.
  • How did Livingston (D-LA) keep his seat? Maybe he paid off some voters with all that frozen cash.
  • Who's ready for '08! Let the race begin.


Tuesday, November 07, 2006

All Comes Down to Today

ELECTION DAY HAS arrived and JIB is away on business. More to come next week.

Saturday, November 04, 2006

Even More Predictions

IT'S NOW TIME to give Stuart Rothenberg's predictions. According to his Political Report the House and Seante will fall this way:

  • House: Dems +34-40
  • Senate: Dems + 5-7

More Predictions

ELECTION PROJECTION.COM HAS the mid-terms races falling this way:
  • Senate: Dems +4
  • House: Dems + 17
  • Governor: Dems +7

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Thursday, November 02, 2006

Prediction Time

IT'S TIME FOR predictions! Not mine, mind you, but those who do this kind of thing for a living. Larry Sabato is up first -- his predictons are printed in his column today at RCP. Sabato's Predictions:
  • House: Dems +27 for a 230-205 majority
  • Senate: Dems +6 for a 51-49 majority

Hmmm. This is clearly an optimistic prediction if you're a Democrat. To get to 51 in the Senate the Dems need to pick up two of the three 'big' races (TN, VA, MO), and that could be a tough task. With Ford losing a bit of ground in Tennessee, Webb and McCaskill will have to pull out victories if the Democrats hope to gain control. And let's not forget that this all assumes Democrat victories in PA, OH, RI, MD, and NJ. And in case you've already chalked-up MD for Cardin, take a look at the most recent polls: Steele is within 3 or 4 point now.

JIB will keep close tabs on the predictions of the prognosticators. Stay tuned.

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