Monday, September 11, 2006

If It's Monday

IF IT'S MONDAY, it poll-release day over at WSJ/Zogby. Here are the latest in some of the key Senate races. All the following polls were released on Sept. 11.

WI-SEN WSJ/Zogby Kohl (D) 50.3%, Lorge (R) 35.3
WA=SEN WSJ/Zogby Cantwell (D) 50.2%, McGavick (R) 42%
VA-SEN WSJ/Zogby Webb (D) 50.4%, Allen (R) 42.9%
TX-SEN WSJ/Zogby Hutchinson (R) 47.8%, Radnofsky (D) 39%
TN-SEN WSJ/Zogby Corker (R) 45.3%, Ford (D) 42.6%
OH-SEN WSJ/Zogby Brown (D) 44.7%, DeWine (R) 40.7%
NY-SEN WSJ/Zogby Clinton (D) 57.2%, McFarland (R) 29.1%
NM-SEN WSJ/Zogby Bingaman (D) 58.6%, McCulloch (R) 32.7%
NJ-SEN WSJ/Zogby M enendez (D) 40.4%, Kean (R) 40.2%
MD-SEN WSJ/Zogby Cardin (D) 49.4%, Steele (R) 40.2%
MD-SEN WSJ/Zogby Mfume (D) 50%, Steele (R) 39%
FL-SEN WSJ/Zogby Nelson 51%, Harris (R) 32%
CT-SEN WSJ/Zogby Lieberman (CFL) 46%, Lamont (D) 42.1%
PA-SEN WSJ/Zogby Casey (D) 47%, Santorum (R) 42.9%

Several of these polls have seen significant movement in recent weeks. Most notable, I think, are the races in Virginia and Pennsylvania.

In VA, George Allen hasn't recovered from his bout with foot-in-mouth disease (will voters ever forget 'mecaca'?). Two months ago Allen was leading by double digits and thinking about a possible races for the White House. Now he finds himself trailing Webb in more than one poll. Allen's White House chances are now dead or almost dead (depending on who you talk to) and he's in real trouble in what should be a safe state for Republicans, considering the pro-military influence in the Hampton Roads area. But for the the first time in his political career, Allen is facing a pretty stiff head wind and we'll have to see how he handles it.

In Pennsylvania, Rick Santorum is actually in better shape than he was a couple of months ago, despite new polls showing him down by about 4-5 points. Santorum is desperately trying to hold on to his seat and is facing a lot of trouble at home because of his staunch support for POTUS (Santorum has a 97% 'pro-Bush' voting record -- highest percentage in the Senate). He is now trying to cast himself as an independent thinker (good luck) and is finding new ways to disagree with Bush. Several Washington insiders have written in recent weeks that Rove and Bush have given him permission to bash the Administration if it helps his chances in Nov. Casey, for his part, isn't buying it and is calling out Santorum on his recent view changes. But it looks like the Santorum tactic may be working -- two months ago Casey was leading by double digits.

As always, stay tuned.


At 9/11/2006 1:28 PM, Blogger randyjet said...

Just a note from Texas that we are gaining on the pompom girl from Texas, Hutchison. Ms.Fluffy has first agreed to a debate, then thought better of it, and is now saying she will be a no show. Barbara Radnofsky is an excellent speaker and candidate, and should not be written off by anybody, especially Democrats. We and she have come a long way folks.

At 9/11/2006 4:10 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Get rid of 'pompom girl'. Go Radnofsky.

At 9/11/2006 4:11 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

You are so right about Allen. In every election he's been in he has had the stars align for him. I think time he'll crack and we'll see Webb win.

At 9/11/2006 9:14 PM, Blogger Libby's Blog said...

Barbara Ann Radnofsky came out of almost nowhere and has severely and brilliantly diminished the popularity of the so-called most popular elected official in Texas. Why? Because Ms. Radnofsky speaks from the heart and tells the truth. She offers concrete solutions, not spin and talking point mumbo jumbo, to address the problems that confront Texans and all Americans. Ms. Radnofsky deeply cares about all Texans and is not beholden to the corporate power dudes that our senior Senator from Texas so obviously worships. Texans have awakened and finally smell the burnt coffee.

At 9/12/2006 9:41 AM, Blogger jonathan scriven said...

I need to find out more about Radnofsky. Please continue to let me know about her progress.


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